Much Ado About Abandoned Housing
I have written a few posts about the abandoned housing ordinance that the City of Chicago enacted this year. The original version was abandoned for a version that was supposed to be a compromise with mortgage lenders and servicers. The Federal Housing Finance Agency has filed a lawsuit seeking to block enforcement of the ordinance. It claims that the City of Chicago cannot regulate a Federal regulatory body.
It would appear that Gerri Willis of Fox Business is a bit late to the party. She posted her analysis of the situation to her blog on December 27. As is to be expected, she is not a big fan of the ordinance. Once you get past the talking points and rhetorical flourishes, what remains is her proposal for fixing the abandoned property problem in Chicago: speed up foreclosures.
She claims that speeding up foreclosures would speed up the market's recovery. On one hand, it is plausible. Forcing foreclosures through the system would finally bottom out the market, leaving housing values significantly lower than they are now. Once the market bottoms out, we can finally get back to buying properties. After all, we know the prices can't go any lower, right?
Wrong. Speeding up the foreclosure process will do very little to address the two elephants in the room. First, speeding up foreclosures will increase the number of vacant properties in Chicago, not decrease them. Second, speeding up foreclosures does nothing to address the fact that almost 50% of Chicago mortgages are underwater. In order to truly end the foreclosure crisis, we need to address the need for principal reductions -- a move that FHFA has tried to block at every turn. Moreover, the derelict properties that are currently out there are falling into a further state of disrepair and continue to cause a serious risk to public health and safety.
The City's ordinance is not perfect. It does seem that the ordinance would impose duties on mortgage lenders and servicers that are normally the responsibility of the property owner. At the same time, but for an unwillingness to complete the foreclosure process, these properties would have already been repossessed by the banks, properly placing the burden of maintaining them on the banks.
I would also like to point out that Ms. Willis' assertion that Freddie and Fannie being forced to comply with the ordinance will cost taxpayers money is a bit off. Freddie and Fannie are not "federal mortgage giants," they're government sponsored enterprises that received a healthy bailout along with the major mortgage lenders and the too-big-to-fail banks.
The American taxpayer is losing money every day that properties sit derelict and abandoned. These abandoned properties are stripped clean of any valuable metals and hardware. The resale value on many of them is approaching zero. The true loss of cash here is not via the ordinance, but due to the FHFA's unwillingness to pursue a program of true principal reductions. Stabilizing housing prices can be done by allowing them to fully crash and burn or by taking a short-term loss (principal reductions) for a long-term gain (interest paid on loans that don't go into foreclosure).
The City's solution is not the most elegant, but it's the best thing that's been brought to the table so far. I'd also like to point out that the Chicago City Council and Rahm Emmanuel are relatively limited in their ability to shorten foreclosure timelines as Ms. Willis suggests. Any modifications to the Illinois Mortgage Foreclosure Law would have to be passed by the General Assembly in Springfield.
In the meantime, the urban blight in Chicago will continue to spread. Speeding up foreclosures won't stop that. It will, however, add to the number of empty properties. When you're trying to combat a disease, it's always good to add extra vectors by which it can spread. That works every time.

